Risk Analysis

Monte Carlo Sim Calculator

Simulate thousands of market paths for your portfolio.

Input Parameters

Adjust variables to stress-test your strategy.

10 YEARS
7%
15%
2000
Invested
$70,000
Median
$100,045
Worst 10%
$67,592
Loss Prob.
12.6%

Scenario Distributions

Visualizing 10–90 percentile outcomes.

Random Sample Trajectories

Each line represents one possible future.

Bear Case (10th)
$67,592

Only 10% of simulations ended below this level.

Expected (Median)
$100,045

The 50/50 line where half of outcomes are better/worse.

Bull Case (90th)
$154,852

Optimistic scenario with only 10% chance of being exceeded.